Morata CD vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 2
CDM
29%
26%
46%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
3 - 0
LUC
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LMU
0 - 1
CDM
21%
23%
57%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
PRA
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
9 - 0
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
LMU
38%
21%
41%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
TAU
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
OLV
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BOQ
5 - 1
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |