Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHF
0 - 1
MCA
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
11 - 0
HSA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 7
MCA
14%
15%
72%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 2
MCA
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
3 - 2
TCK
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
CHF
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
HSA
5 - 2
SMA
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
TCK
3 - 1
SMA
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
LUL
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 9
CPK
12%
15%
74%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |