CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 1
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
OHI
1 - 3
CDM
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 0
PUE
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 0
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 2
EVE
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
ULC
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EVE
1 - 3
UCO
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |