CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
USF
1 - 1
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
CDM
0 - 0
DEP
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
DLI
2 - 2
CDM
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
CDM
1 - 1
DLS
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
CSD
4 - 1
CDM
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
IQU
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 0
UCO
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
USF
2 - 1
UCO
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
DLI
2 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |