CD Melipilla vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
CDM
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CSD
1 - 0
CDM
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CDM
0 - 0
MAG
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
PUE
0 - 0
CDM
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CDM
3 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
DSC
0 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSD
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
COB
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |