Clausura Honduras . Jor. 4

CD Marathón vs Real España analysis

CD Marathón Real España
68 ELO 74
13.2% Tilt 0.6%
785º General ELO ranking 791º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.2%
CD Marathón
26.8%
Draw
33.1%
Real España

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
CD Marathón
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.1%
Win probability
Real España
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

CD Marathón
Their league position
Real España
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
29
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Olimpia
41
42
100%
Olancho FC
32
35
100%
Real España
29
29
100%
CD Marathón
28
29
100%
FC Motagua
25
25
0%
Lobos de la UPNFM
25
25
0%
CDyS Vida
19
19
100%
CD Real Sociedad
16
16
100%
Honduras Progreso
13
13
0%
CD Victoria
10º
13
13
10º
0%
Expected probabilities
CD Marathón
Real España
Next round
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Marathón
Real España
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Marathón
CD Marathón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
OLI
CD Olimpia
0 - 0
CD Marathón
MAR
51%
26%
23%
68 74 6 0
26 Jan. 2023
MAR
CD Marathón
0 - 2
CDyS Vida
VID
53%
24%
23%
69 66 3 -1
22 Jan. 2023
ALI
Olancho FC
2 - 2
CD Marathón
MAR
43%
27%
30%
69 67 2 0
05 Dec. 2022
OLI
CD Olimpia
1 - 3
CD Marathón
MAR
54%
24%
22%
67 75 8 +2
01 Dec. 2022
MAR
CD Marathón
1 - 3
CD Olimpia
OLI
39%
24%
37%
68 74 6 -1

Matches

Real España
Real España
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
RSO
CD Real Sociedad
1 - 3
Real España
RES
14%
24%
62%
74 50 24 0
26 Jan. 2023
MOT
FC Motagua
1 - 0
Real España
RES
38%
28%
35%
74 70 4 0
22 Jan. 2023
RES
Real España
4 - 0
CD Victoria
VIC
63%
22%
15%
74 62 12 0
19 Nov. 2022
HNP
Honduras Progreso
0 - 0
Real España
RES
19%
25%
56%
74 56 18 0
13 Nov. 2022
RES
Real España
4 - 3
Olancho FC
ALI
52%
26%
22%
74 68 6 0
X