CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 3
JUT
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
JAG
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VID
0 - 1
MAR
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
HNP
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
RES
1 - 1
MOT
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 0
TAU
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 0
HNP
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
TAU
2 - 1
MOT
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 0
MOT
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |