Leones del Norte vs San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
10º
10º
15
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 61 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 54 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 47 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 46 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 39 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 36 |
10º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
CLN
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CLN
3 - 0
MAN
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
CLN
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CLN
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CLN
2 - 1
OCT
19%
26%
55%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
INJ
20%
28%
53%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
CUN
20%
27%
54%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 0
ESA
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |