CD Gerena vs Sevilla C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
3º
46
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
CDG
20%
24%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
CDL
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 0
POZ
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
XER
1 - 1
CDG
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 0
CRD
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
POZ
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
XER
1 - 1
SEV
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SEV
0 - 0
CRD
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 3
SEV
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |