CD El Nacional vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
CRZ
4 - 1
NAC
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
STR
2 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
FEN
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
TAL
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TAL
1 - 1
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 0
PEÑ
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |