noscript image

Serie B - Ecuador. Matchday 30

CD El Nacional vs LDU de Portoviejo analysis

CD El Nacional LDU de Portoviejo
37 ELO 20
17% Tilt 12%
3751º General ELO ranking 6994º
12º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
56.7%
CD El Nacional
22.4%
Draw
20.9%
LDU de Portoviejo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
CD El Nacional
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
LDU de Portoviejo
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

1
1
GF
1
1
GC
37
20
ELO
1.9
1.1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

CD El Nacional
Their league position
LDU de Portoviejo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
37
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cumbayá
67
67
100%
Gualaceo
60
60
100%
CD El Nacional
59
59
100%
Chacaritas
49
49
100%
América Quito
47
47
50%
Guayaquil SC
47
47
50%
Independiente Juniors
43
43
100%
Atlético Santo Domingo
42
42
100%
Atlético Porteño
39
39
100%
LDU de Portoviejo
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD El Nacional
LDU de Portoviejo
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
CD El Nacional
NAC
Chacaritas
CHA
Independiente Juniors
INJ
Gualaceo
GUA
Guayaquil SC
GUA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD El Nacional
CD El Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO NAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2021
CFC
Cumbayá
0 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
39%
28%
33%
512 320 -192 0
18 Aug. 2021
NAC
CD El Nacional
3 - 1
Guayaquil SC
GUA
51%
26%
23%
510 294 216 +2
11 Aug. 2021
GUA
Gualaceo
1 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
39%
28%
33%
512 286 -226 -2
05 Aug. 2021
NAC
CD El Nacional
3 - 2
Atlético Santo Domingo
PQU
53%
25%
22%
510 280 230 +1
30 Jul. 2021
NAC
CD El Nacional
3 - 1
Atlético Porteño
POR
51%
26%
23%
509 286 223 +2

Matches

LDU de Portoviejo
LDU de Portoviejo
1%
X%
2%
ELO LDU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2021
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
0 - 0
América Quito
AME
46%
27%
28%
265 317 -52 0
18 Aug. 2021
POR
Atlético Porteño
0 - 2
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
47%
27%
26%
262 283 21 +2
11 Aug. 2021
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 0
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
47%
27%
26%
264 296 32 -1
04 Aug. 2021
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
1 - 1
Gualaceo
GUA
46%
27%
27%
264 286 -22 0
28 Jul. 2021
PQU
Atlético Santo Domingo
1 - 1
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
45%
27%
28%
264 280 16 0