CD El Nacional vs Cumbayá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
25%
29%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
INJ
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
PQU
0 - 2
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
AME
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LDU
1 - 2
CFC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
41%
30%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
INJ
31%
28%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |