CD El Nacional vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAN
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
INJ
4 - 1
NAC
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
PQU
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
29%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OLM
0 - 2
AME
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
CAL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
IMB
2 - 1
AME
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |