Copa del Rey . 1/64
Global 2-1
CD Don Benito vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
JER
37%
28%
34%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PLA
2 - 0
DBN
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
DBN
2 - 1
UCL
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 2
DBN
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
DBN
4 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MEL
3 - 2
VIL
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 1
CPC
49%
27%
25%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 1
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |