CD Don Benito vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
13º
1º
32
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 4
DBN
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DBN
2 - 0
AZU
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
DBN
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DBN
3 - 0
UDF
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 2
DBN
21%
25%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
CDD
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDD
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
MOR
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
CDD
54%
23%
22%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |