Chert vs E. Rosell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
CHE
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
CLU
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 1
JAN
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIN
2 - 0
CHE
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
CHE
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
E. Rosell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
JAN
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 1
ESP
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 6
VAL
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 5
ESP
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATZ
3 - 1
ESP
27%
22%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |