Chagüite vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
79.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chagüite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
PAS
1 - 4
CHA
87%
10%
3%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
LAS
1 - 4
CHA
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAS
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
LAS
78%
13%
8%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 3
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 3
MET
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
FAS
3 - 0
MUN
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |