Centenario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
CEN
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 2
MSM
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
OES
0 - 1
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 5
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
TIE
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 4
VIS
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |