Centenario vs Árabe Unido II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
CEN
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 4
UME
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SSM
2 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
COL
2 - 4
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
SSM
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARA
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UME
1 - 1
ARA
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |