Cayón B vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAY
46%
24%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAY
4 - 2
NUE
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NOJ
1 - 0
CAY
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAY
0 - 0
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATM
6 - 0
CAY
60%
19%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NUE
1 - 3
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MER
56%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SEL
46%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |