CD Castro vs Dubra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 0
CDC
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
CDC
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
CDC
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
BOI
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dubra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DUB
0 - 0
BOI
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EUM
0 - 1
DUB
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DUB
0 - 0
RIB
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SIG
2 - 0
DUB
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DUB
2 - 3
GAL
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |