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Second Division. Matchday 41

CD Castellón Rayo Vallecano
48 ELO 61
-14% Tilt 5%
1728º General ELO ranking 461º
90º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
27.9%
CD Castellón
27.9%
Draw
44.2%
Rayo Vallecano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
CD Castellón
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.2%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Castellón
-18%
-2%
Rayo Vallecano

Basic stats

42
58
POS
5
11
SOT
6
0
COR
0
2
GF
2
0
GC
48
61
ELO
1
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

CD Castellón
Their league position
Rayo Vallecano
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
22º
21º
67
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Espanyol
82
82
50%
Mallorca
82
82
50%
Leganés
73
73
50%
Almería
73
73
50%
Girona
71
71
100%
Rayo Vallecano
67
67
100%
Real Sporting
65
65
100%
Ponferradina
57
57
100%
Las Palmas
56
56
100%
Mirandés
10º
54
54
10º
50%
Fuenlabrada
11º
54
54
11º
50%
Málaga
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Real Oviedo
13º
52
52
14º
50%
Tenerife
14º
52
52
13º
50%
Real Zaragoza
15º
50
50
15º
100%
FC Cartagena
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Alcorcón
17º
48
48
17º
100%
Lugo
18º
47
47
18º
100%
Sabadell
19º
46
46
19º
100%
UD Logroñés
20º
44
44
20º
100%
CD Castellón
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Albacete
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Castellón
Rayo Vallecano
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

CD Castellón
CAS
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Málaga
MAL
Lugo
LUG
Leganés
LEG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Castellón
CD Castellón
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2021
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 0
CD Castellón
CAS
58%
23%
19%
867 1425 558 -6
15 May. 2021
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 2
Ponferradina
PON
44%
27%
29%
875 1013 -138 -9
09 May. 2021
CAR
FC Cartagena
1 - 0
CD Castellón
CAS
49%
26%
25%
881 949 68 -6
02 May. 2021
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 0
UD Logroñés
UDL
38%
28%
34%
880 1273 -393 +1
25 Apr. 2021
CDT
Tenerife
1 - 1
CD Castellón
CAS
56%
24%
20%
878 1255 377 +2

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO RAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
4 - 1
Real Oviedo
ROV
56%
25%
20%
1443 1196 247 +8
16 May. 2021
FUE
Fuenlabrada
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
39%
28%
33%
1438 1072 -366 +5
10 May. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Leganés
LEG
45%
27%
28%
1438 1509 -71 0
03 May. 2021
SAB
Sabadell
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
33%
27%
39%
1450 981 -469 -12
26 Apr. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Albacete
ALB
56%
24%
20%
1452 1087 365 -2