Segunda RFEF Grupo 2. Jor. 21

CD Calahorra vs Barakaldo analysis

CD Calahorra Barakaldo
45 ELO 53
-9.8% Tilt -17.6%
4573º General ELO ranking 2965º
140º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
26.6%
CD Calahorra
27.3%
Draw
46%
Barakaldo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
CD Calahorra
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46%
Win probability
Barakaldo
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Calahorra
-6%
+34%
Barakaldo

Points and table prediction

CD Calahorra
Their league position
Barakaldo
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
13º
10º
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bilbao Ath.
82
82
100%
Barakaldo
76
76
100%
UD Logroñés
71
71
100%
Utebo
61
61
100%
Deportivo Aragón
56
56
100%
Deportivo Alavés B
52
52
100%
Tudelano
48
48
100%
Barbastro
47
47
0%
Real Sociedad C
47
47
0%
CD Calahorra
10º
46
46
10º
100%
SD Gernika
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Arenas de Getxo
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Izarra
13º
36
36
13º
100%
AD San Juan
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Mutilvera
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Náxara
16º
24
24
16º
100%
CD Valle de Egüés
17º
21
21
17º
100%
Brea
18º
21
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Calahorra
Barakaldo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Calahorra
Barakaldo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Calahorra
CD Calahorra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
0 - 1
CD Calahorra
CLH
34%
28%
39%
44 39 5 0
21 Jan. 2024
CLH
CD Calahorra
1 - 1
AD San Juan
SJU
61%
23%
17%
44 37 7 0
13 Jan. 2024
UDM
Mutilvera
0 - 2
CD Calahorra
CLH
36%
27%
37%
43 38 5 +1
07 Jan. 2024
ZAR
Deportivo Aragón
0 - 0
CD Calahorra
CLH
60%
23%
18%
42 48 6 +1
17 Dec. 2023
CLH
CD Calahorra
0 - 2
Deportivo Alavés B
ALA
31%
26%
43%
44 49 5 -2

Matches

Barakaldo
Barakaldo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barakaldo
1 - 1
Utebo
UFC
60%
23%
17%
53 48 5 0
21 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barakaldo
1 - 0
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
76%
16%
8%
53 40 13 0
13 Jan. 2024
SJU
AD San Juan
0 - 2
Barakaldo
BAR
14%
23%
63%
52 38 14 +1
07 Jan. 2024
UDM
Mutilvera
1 - 3
Barakaldo
BAR
18%
25%
58%
52 38 14 0
16 Dec. 2023
BAR
Barakaldo
1 - 0
Deportivo Aragón
ZAR
56%
24%
21%
51 48 3 +1
X