CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NOJ
3 - 0
AUR
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
AUR
3 - 1
TAL
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
GIM
0 - 2
AUR
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
AUR
2 - 2
RAC
37%
29%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ALA
2 - 1
AUR
58%
25%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
GER
0 - 0
LOG
26%
29%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BIN
0 - 2
GER
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
GER
2 - 1
CLH
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
RUN
0 - 2
GER
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
GER
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |