Independiente FC vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JOC
0 - 1
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
IND
0 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 1
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
FAS
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CEV
0 - 0
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
2 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |