Independiente FC vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
52%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
IND
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
FAS
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SFC
3 - 3
IND
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PAS
4 - 1
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
IND
4 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
JOC
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAS
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 3
SAN
25%
27%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 0
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +2 |