Independiente FC vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
FAS
0 - 1
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CDP
0 - 0
IND
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 1
PAS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 2
JOC
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 2
MUN
7%
14%
79%
|
56 | 15 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 1
MUN
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
FAS
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |