Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Atlético Paso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CPC
1 - 0
CDA
46%
27%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
VIL
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 53 | -6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
LEG
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | -1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDA
46%
27%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HBN
0 - 1
CDA
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 35 | -11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -7 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 3
CDD
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 48 | -5 | +7 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALC
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
CDD
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 3
CDD
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 45 | -17 | -9 |