Atlético Mengibar vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
CDA
80%
14%
7%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
ATL
16%
19%
64%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BEG
6 - 3
CDA
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
CDR
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
CDA
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
ADL
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
CDH
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAR
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |