Arces vs UD Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDL
4 - 1
ARC
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 3
GAT
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
ARC
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 0
VIC
48%
22%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PED
2 - 0
ARC
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
UDS
9 - 1
CAB
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
UDS
20%
21%
60%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UDS
5 - 2
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UDS
1 - 3
CDL
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GAT
0 - 3
UDS
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |