CD Alesves vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
14º
16º
15º
55
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alesves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDA
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 0
CDA
67%
20%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
OBE
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
VAL
20%
22%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 2
CDA
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SUB
5 - 1
LAG
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SUB
1 - 0
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
COR
1 - 3
SUB
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SUB
3 - 0
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAM
0 - 2
SUB
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |