CD Aboño vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aboño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAI
2 - 1
ABO
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ABO
3 - 0
RGJ
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 3
ABO
49%
23%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ABO
5 - 0
EST
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
COD
4 - 3
ABO
32%
23%
45%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MCU
0 - 2
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
NAI
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |