CCD Chain vs U.D. Mos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
CHA
74%
16%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
UMI
20%
23%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 5
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
UDE
33%
24%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
CHA
76%
16%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 1
MOS
80%
14%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 0
PON
27%
25%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
POR
4 - 1
MOS
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
MOS
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |