Cayón vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAY
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CAY
1 - 0
SMA
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
CAY
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAY
0 - 1
GAM
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAY
12%
21%
67%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
CUL
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LAR
3 - 1
TRO
44%
25%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
RAY
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
7 - 0
TEX
79%
15%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRO
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |