Caxias do Sul vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
MIR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INT
0 - 3
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 2
ECA
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 1
CAX
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 1
CAX
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 1
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |