Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
69.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECS
4 - 3
CAX
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
1 - 1
CAX
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CAX
3 - 0
SAP
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SLU
1 - 2
CAX
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
SLU
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
GRE
11%
18%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
6 - 1
ECS
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |