Caxias do Sul vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAX
51%
28%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
YPI
0 - 0
CAX
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 0
PEL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
SLU
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
CAC
41%
23%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TUB
1 - 3
CHA
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUB
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |