Caxias do Sul vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAX
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 1
SCI
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 5
CAX
76%
18%
6%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAX
1 - 0
SCI
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
CIA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
ATP
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
GRE
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAL
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
ATP
35%
30%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |