Cavaly vs Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
29.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIC
36%
32%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
VIO
1 - 0
CAV
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
CAV
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 0
CAV
59%
26%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
DON
45%
31%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
VIO
1 - 2
DON
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
DON
32%
35%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
FIC
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
DON
45%
31%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
BAL
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |