Cavalier vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 2
CAV
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
CAV
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 0
TRI
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAV
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
CAV
31%
30%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
CAV
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
MPA
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MPA
0 - 1
WAT
44%
29%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
WAT
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |