Cavalier vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
8º
4º
33
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 93 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CAV
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 3
CMF
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
CAV
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAV
5 - 1
MOL
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 4
MPA
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 1
LIO
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 13 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
DFC
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 0
LIO
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 1
POR
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |