CONCACAF Champions Cup 1/16
Global 0-6
Cavalier vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 0
VER
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
4 - 0
LIM
71%
20%
9%
|
70 | 9 | 61 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAV
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
MON
66%
22%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
5 - 2
NER
53%
22%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 3
PHU
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
CIN
37%
24%
38%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 1
CIN
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CIN
2 - 3
COC
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |