Cavalier vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
30.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 0
CAV
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAV
2 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
CAV
43%
30%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 1
HAR
36%
31%
34%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 0
CAV
63%
24%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 2
ARN
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 0
ARN
49%
29%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2013 |
ARN
3 - 0
WAT
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARN
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |