Catania vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
CAT
4 - 1
ATL
31%
29%
41%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 0
ARZ
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CES
3 - 2
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 5
BRE
15%
24%
62%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 1
TRI
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |