Catania vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAT
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 0
INT
18%
30%
52%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAT
83%
13%
5%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
27%
31%
42%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
GEN
3 - 0
CAT
63%
24%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
UDI
3 - 1
GEN
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ACM
3 - 3
UDI
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
UDI
4 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
LAZ
2 - 2
UDI
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
UDI
2 - 2
JUV
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |