Catania vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 1
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
CAT
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 0
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 0
SIE
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
SIE
5 - 0
VAR
62%
24%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 2
SIE
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |