Catania vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 0
USC
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 1
CAT
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CAT
3 - 1
NAP
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ROM
4 - 3
CAT
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 2
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
6 - 2
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 2
UDI
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |