Catania vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
CAT
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIA
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
CAT
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
AKR
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
FON
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
REG
0 - 0
FIA
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |