Catania vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAT
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 3
ATH
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
IRA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 8 | 72 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAT
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
GEN
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
RAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
FER
88%
10%
2%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |