Catania vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
0 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEC
60%
20%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 2
NOV
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |